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OPINION: Why Tinubu Should Not Interfere In Niger’s Internal Affairs

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By Agatha Tuoyo

With the recent political turmoil in Niger, President Bola Tinubu has made interest by asking the Senate to sign into law for the Nigerian Army to fight in Niger because their democracy was hijacked by the military government. Niger happens to be one of the poorest countries in the world that is currently facing a lot of challenges, including an ongoing insurgency in the South, rising tension among neighbouring countries and economic instability.

Just to remind you, on the 26th of July, 2023, members of the Niger National Guard who were supposed to protect the President, Mohamed Bazoum reportedly attacked and arrested him in a coordinated effort to oust his government. A similar treatment was also meted on other political leaders in the country some of whom were physically assaulted according to local and international news reports.

Mr Bazoum came into office in February 2020 via an election that was allegedly marred by electoral irregularities. The military junta that ousted his government had claimed that Bazoum was too corrupt and incompetent to occupy the most coveted seat in the francophone country.

President Bazoum has tried to manage the problems in the country with the help of international bodies. Also, President Tinubu declared his support for Bazoum and his efforts to stabilise the country, offered financial and military aid, and he brought a suggestion that Nigeria could play the role of a mediator in the conflict with neighboring countries. But some critics said that President Tinubu interference could exacerbate the situation.

Let’s go back to history when the military council took over power in Chad following the death of their long-time President, Idris Deby. He ruled Chad for more than thirty years and his death left a power vacuum in the country. The military council led by his son, Mahamat Deby, took control of government and suspended the constitution.  Obasanjo interfered by calling for a peaceful transition to civilian government and urged the African Union to send a fact-finding mission to the country. He also called on the military council to release all political rulers held hostage and allow a dialogue between the government and the opposition.

Obasanjo’s main concern was that foreign interference could result in further instability in Chad and the surrounding region.  He advised all foreign forces to leave the country and allow African Union to take a leading role in resolving the crisis. He also urged the international community to provide humanitarian assistance to the citizens of Chad who were suffering as a result of the conflict.

To sum it up, Obasanjo took a strong stance when the military took over Chad and argued for a peaceful transition to civilian rule.

An argument is ongoing that it is important for Niger to find solutions to their problems themselves rather than relying on the intervention from other countries.

It is important for Niger to take ownership of their problems and find solutions to it. If the Nigerian government and President interferes too much, it could be seen that the President merely wants to control the country and not help out. This could lead to anger and resentment, and actually fuel insurgency in the already troubled North-east region of the country.

Subsequently, the interference of President Tinubu could worsen the corruption in Niger. There are already concerns that the Bazoum’s government is not doing enough to address corruption, and if Tinubu gets involved, it could send the message that outside powers are willing to tolerate corruption as long as they want.

One final point is that, President Tinubu’s interference could cause more instability in the country.  Aside Boko Haram insurgency operating in the Country, other groups could see his involvement as an opportunity to gain more power and influence in operating in that area.

Hence, President Tinubu may intervene in the Niger leadership impasse by adopting the Obasanjo’s approach to call for a peace talk with the military government in Niger rather than fighting them or making use of force because it will lead to a more serious war.

There are possible alternatives to President Tinubu’s approach. One option is for the International community to provide more support for development and capacity building in Niger rather than just throwing money at the problem.

Another point is to build up the capacity of the government and civil society in Niger could help address the underlying causes of instability and provide a more sustainable solution.

In summary, President Tinubu’s interference in Niger could undermine the legitimacy of the government, fuel insurgency, exacerbate the problem of corruption and cause more instability in the region. Therefore, it is better for President Tinubu to avoid a direct interference.

The author, Agatha Tuoyo, is a 200 Level student of Mass Communication at Delta State University, Abraka, Nigeria. Email: agathatuoyo@gmail.com

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    clearing my mind in getting my ideas out. I do take pleasure in writing however it just seems like
    the first 10 to 15 minutes tend to be wasted simply just trying to figure out how to begin. Any suggestions or tips?
    Many thanks!

  60. Annis

    27/05/2024 at 8:54 am

    It’s really a great and helpful piece of information. I am glad that you simply shared this useful information with
    us. Please stay us informed like this. Thanks for sharing.

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